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Active Prediction Contracts
- 2026 Men's French Open Winner: Who will win the 2026 Men's French Open? Trade Yes/No contracts on each contender player in the sub-market pool.
- 2026 NBA Champion: Who will win the 2026 NBA Championship? Each team is a separate Yes/No prediction sub-market where you can trade shares and monitor prices.
- Will Bitcoin (BTC) cross $120,000 in 2026?: Resolves to YES if Bitcoin hits $120,000.00 or higher at any point (UTC) on or before Dec 31, 2026.
- Will Ethereum (ETH) reach a new all-time high of $5,000 in 2026?: Resolves to YES if Ethereum trades at or above $5,000.00 at any point (UTC) on or before Dec 31, 2026 on major exchanges.
- Will Nvidia's market cap exceed $4.5 Trillion in 2026?: Resolves to YES if Nvidia (NVDA) official market capitalization registered on Yahoo Finance or Bloomberg closes above $4.5T on any trading day in 2026.
- Will OpenAI release GPT-5 before July 31, 2026?: Resolves to YES if OpenAI officially launches a model explicitly branded 'GPT-5' for public access (free or paid) on or before July 31, 2026.
- Will SpaceX land an uncrewed Starship on Mars in 2026?: Resolves to YES if SpaceX successfully soft-lands or impact-lands any version of Starship on Martian soil before Dec 31, 2026.
- Will NIST certify a room-temperature superconductor in 2026?: Resolves to YES if the U.S. National Institute of Standards and Technology (NIST) or equivalent national body certifies a material as superconducting above 0 degrees Celsius.
- Will any G20 country fully launch a retail CBDC by October 2026?: Resolves to YES if a G20 member nation officially rolls out a retail Central Bank Digital Currency (CBDC) as nationwide legal tender.
- Will the UK rejoin the EU Single Market in 2026?: Resolves to YES if the United Kingdom and the European Union sign or enact a formal partnership treaty granting UK full dynamic alignment with the EU Single Market.
- Will a Green Party candidate win leadership of any G7 nation in 2026?: Resolves to YES if a member of a registered national Green Party is elected or appointed as Chancellor, Prime Minister, or President of a G7 country in 2026.
- Will Lionel Messi announce retirement in 2026?: Resolves to YES if Lionel Messi publicly announces his official retirement from professional club and international football before December 31, 2026.
- Will a non-European nation win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?: Resolves to YES if the nation that lifts the 2026 FIFA World Cup trophy belongs to CONMEBOL, CONCACAF, CAF, AFC, or OFC.
- Will LeBron James announce permanent NBA retirement in 2026?: Resolves to YES if LeBron James officially announces he will retire from playing professional basketball in the NBA.
- Will 'Dune: Part Three' get delayed past December 31, 2026?: Resolves to YES if Legendary Entertainment or Warner Bros announces theatrical release of Dune: Part Three is officially set after Dec 31, 2026, or if no release occurs.
- Will a video game adaptation be nominated for Best Picture at the Oscars in 2026?: Resolves to YES if any theatrical film adapted from a video game intellectual property receives a nomination for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards.
- Will Taylor Swift release a new studio album in 2026?: Resolves to YES if Taylor Swift releases a brand new (non-re-recorded) studio album before Dec 31, 2026.
- Will 2026 break the record for hottest year on record?: Resolves to YES if NOAA or NASA reports that the global average surface temperature for 2026 is higher than any preceding year.
- Will global solar energy capacity surpass 2,500 GW in 2026?: Resolves to YES if the International Renewable Energy Agency (IRENA) official annual report lists global cumulative solar photovoltaic capacity above 2,500 Gigawatts (GW).
- Will average CO2 concentration at Mauna Loa hit 430 ppm in 2026?: Resolves to YES if the monthly average atmospheric carbon dioxide concentration measured at Mauna Loa Observatory peaks or averages 430 parts per million (ppm) or higher in 2026.
- "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office Exceeds $85M: Resolves to YES if A24's 'The Backrooms' grosses $85,000,000 or more in domestic box office receipts during its opening weekend.
- Will Fed cut interest rates in Q2 2026?: Resolves to YES if the Federal Reserve Federal Open Market Committee reduces the target federal funds rate by at least 25 basis points in Q2 2026.
- Which political party will control the U.S. House of Representatives after the 2026 Midterm Elections?: The 2026 U.S. Midterm Elections will determine the composition of the House of Representatives for the 119th Congress. Control of the House is crucial for legislative agendas, committee assignments, and the balance of power in Washington D.C. Traders will assess current political trends, presidential approval ratings, and historical midterm election patterns to predict the outcome.
- Which of the following artists will secure an Album of the Year nomination at the 69th Annual Grammy Awards?: The Album of the Year category is one of the most prestigious accolades at the Grammy Awards, recognizing artistic excellence and commercial impact. Nominations for the 69th Annual Grammy Awards are typically announced in late 2026, setting the stage for the ceremony in early 2027. This market allows traders to speculate on which prominent artists, expected to have released eligible albums, will make the cut for this highly coveted nomination.
- Which NBA player will lead the league in total points scored by the end of December 31, 2026?: The early part of the NBA 2026-2027 season will feature intense scoring races among the league's top offensive talents. This market focuses on which player will accumulate the most total points by the calendar year end, a key indicator of early season dominance and potential MVP contention. Early injuries or unexpected slumps could dramatically shift the standings in this competitive period.
- Will Apple officially integrate Bitcoin or Ethereum payments into Apple Pay by January 31, 2027?: Apple's stance on cryptocurrency has historically been cautious, but the growing adoption of digital assets and increasing demand for crypto payment solutions could pressure the tech giant. An official integration would mark a significant shift, potentially onboarding millions of users to crypto payments and further legitimizing the space. Traders will debate the likelihood of Apple making such a strategic move given regulatory hurdles and its current business model.
- Will the Arctic sea ice minimum extent in 2026 be the lowest on record?: The Arctic sea ice minimum extent, typically reached in September, is a critical indicator of global climate change. While the long-term trend shows a significant decline, annual variations are influenced by specific meteorological conditions. A new record low in 2026 would signal an accelerated rate of warming and have profound implications for global climate patterns and ecosystems.
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