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Active Prediction Contracts
- 2026 Men's French Open Winner: Who will win the 2026 Men's French Open? Trade Yes/No contracts on each contender player in the sub-market pool.
- 2026 NBA Champion: Who will win the 2026 NBA Championship? Each team is a separate Yes/No prediction sub-market where you can trade shares and monitor prices.
- Will Bitcoin (BTC) cross $120,000 in 2026?: Resolves to YES if Bitcoin hits $120,000.00 or higher at any point (UTC) on or before Dec 31, 2026.
- Will Ethereum (ETH) reach a new all-time high of $5,000 in 2026?: Resolves to YES if Ethereum trades at or above $5,000.00 at any point (UTC) on or before Dec 31, 2026 on major exchanges.
- Will Nvidia's market cap exceed $4.5 Trillion in 2026?: Resolves to YES if Nvidia (NVDA) official market capitalization registered on Yahoo Finance or Bloomberg closes above $4.5T on any trading day in 2026.
- Will OpenAI release GPT-5 before July 31, 2026?: Resolves to YES if OpenAI officially launches a model explicitly branded 'GPT-5' for public access (free or paid) on or before July 31, 2026.
- Will SpaceX land an uncrewed Starship on Mars in 2026?: Resolves to YES if SpaceX successfully soft-lands or impact-lands any version of Starship on Martian soil before Dec 31, 2026.
- Will NIST certify a room-temperature superconductor in 2026?: Resolves to YES if the U.S. National Institute of Standards and Technology (NIST) or equivalent national body certifies a material as superconducting above 0 degrees Celsius.
- Will any G20 country fully launch a retail CBDC by October 2026?: Resolves to YES if a G20 member nation officially rolls out a retail Central Bank Digital Currency (CBDC) as nationwide legal tender.
- Will the UK rejoin the EU Single Market in 2026?: Resolves to YES if the United Kingdom and the European Union sign or enact a formal partnership treaty granting UK full dynamic alignment with the EU Single Market.
- Will a Green Party candidate win leadership of any G7 nation in 2026?: Resolves to YES if a member of a registered national Green Party is elected or appointed as Chancellor, Prime Minister, or President of a G7 country in 2026.
- Will Lionel Messi announce retirement in 2026?: Resolves to YES if Lionel Messi publicly announces his official retirement from professional club and international football before December 31, 2026.
- Will a non-European nation win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?: Resolves to YES if the nation that lifts the 2026 FIFA World Cup trophy belongs to CONMEBOL, CONCACAF, CAF, AFC, or OFC.
- Will LeBron James announce permanent NBA retirement in 2026?: Resolves to YES if LeBron James officially announces he will retire from playing professional basketball in the NBA.
- Will 'Dune: Part Three' get delayed past December 31, 2026?: Resolves to YES if Legendary Entertainment or Warner Bros announces theatrical release of Dune: Part Three is officially set after Dec 31, 2026, or if no release occurs.
- Will a video game adaptation be nominated for Best Picture at the Oscars in 2026?: Resolves to YES if any theatrical film adapted from a video game intellectual property receives a nomination for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards.
- Will Taylor Swift release a new studio album in 2026?: Resolves to YES if Taylor Swift releases a brand new (non-re-recorded) studio album before Dec 31, 2026.
- Will 2026 break the record for hottest year on record?: Resolves to YES if NOAA or NASA reports that the global average surface temperature for 2026 is higher than any preceding year.
- Will global solar energy capacity surpass 2,500 GW in 2026?: Resolves to YES if the International Renewable Energy Agency (IRENA) official annual report lists global cumulative solar photovoltaic capacity above 2,500 Gigawatts (GW).
- Will average CO2 concentration at Mauna Loa hit 430 ppm in 2026?: Resolves to YES if the monthly average atmospheric carbon dioxide concentration measured at Mauna Loa Observatory peaks or averages 430 parts per million (ppm) or higher in 2026.
- "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office Exceeds $85M: Resolves to YES if A24's 'The Backrooms' grosses $85,000,000 or more in domestic box office receipts during its opening weekend.
- Will Fed cut interest rates in Q2 2026?: Resolves to YES if the Federal Reserve Federal Open Market Committee reduces the target federal funds rate by at least 25 basis points in Q2 2026.
- Will the US Congress pass a comprehensive federal data privacy bill by February 1, 2027?: The United States currently operates with a fragmented approach to data privacy, relying on a patchwork of state laws and sector-specific regulations. Recent bipartisan efforts have aimed to establish a national standard, with various legislative proposals being debated in both the House and Senate to harmonize these rules and provide stronger consumer protections.
- Which major AI lab will be the first to publicly demonstrate a foundational multimodal AI model capable of generating a 30-second, high-fidelity video from a text prompt?: The race for advanced generative AI continues to accelerate, with multimodal models capable of generating video from text being a significant frontier. This market tracks which leading research lab will achieve a public demonstration of this capability first, signaling a major step towards advanced AI capabilities. Traders will weigh current research progress and public announcements from the top contenders.
- Which artist will win 'Album of the Year' at the 69th Annual Grammy Awards?: The Grammy Awards are one of the most prestigious accolades in the music industry, with 'Album of the Year' being a highly coveted category. This market allows traders to predict which artist will take home the top prize for their album released during the eligibility period for the 69th ceremony. Competition is expected to be fierce, making this a prime topic for debate and speculation.
- Which NFL player will win the 2026-2027 NFL Regular Season MVP award?: The NFL MVP award is one of the most prestigious individual honors in professional sports, typically recognizing the league's most outstanding player. Quarterbacks have historically dominated this award, given their central role in team success. This market allows traders to predict which top contender will be crowned MVP for the upcoming season.
- Will a major US bank announce plans for a fully regulated, tokenized money market fund on a public blockchain by January 31, 2027?: The tokenization of real-world assets is a growing trend, with money market funds being a prime candidate for increased efficiency and transparency on blockchain rails. While several smaller players and non-bank entities have explored this, a major US bank's entry would signal a significant shift in mainstream finance's adoption of public blockchain technology. Traders will speculate on regulatory hurdles, technological readiness, and institutional demand.
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